Net Long-Term and Permanent Arrivals — methodology

What this metric measures

Net arrivals of permanent and long-term temporary visa holders over the 12 months to April each year, based on border crossing records.

Why it matters: Unlike Net Overseas Migration (which uses the 12/16-month residency rule), this metric captures permanent settlement intent at the point of entry. It is a leading indicator for housing demand, school enrolments, and community services, as permanent arrivals require durable housing and infrastructure from day one.

Source & provenance

Publisher

ABS Overseas Arrivals and Departures (Cat. 3401.0). Year to April reference period.

Update frequency

annual

Licence

CC BY 4.0

How the score is computed

The score is a 0–100 normalisation of the latest observation, compared to a baseline window. The traffic-light rating (RAG) reflects both the absolute level and the recent trend.

Direction

Context-dependent

Trend window

24 months

Baseline

Last 10 years

{
  "neutral": true
}